Solidarity with the people of Iran

The Economic Abyss: A Struggle for Survival Deepened by Conflict

Even before the conflict, the Iranian Rial was in freefall, fueling a hyper-inflationary environment that decimated purchasing power. While official statistics from April 2025 indicated an annual inflation rate of 33.2%, more pessimistic forecasts suggested it could soar past 50%. The war has undoubtedly exacerbated this, introducing new layers of economic instability and fear, with initial spikes in global oil prices and increased war-risk insurance premiums for shipping in the Gulf, though these initially stabilized. However, the long-term economic toll on Iran, with its infrastructure damaged and vital resources diverted to recovery and defense, is likely to be profound.

The result is a rapidly expanding poverty crisis. While some official reports suggest around 30% of the population lived below the poverty line by early 2025, independent and international estimates paint a far bleaker picture, suggesting that as much as 80% of Iranians, tens of millions of people, were struggling to meet their most basic needs even prior to the conflict. The war’s disruption of supply chains, potential damage to industrial capacity, and increased national expenditure on defense will only deepen this poverty. Food insecurity, already a stark reality for 55% of urban households in April 2025, will likely worsen as the conflict impacts agricultural production, distribution networks, and the cost of imported goods.

For countless workers, wages had already stagnated, remaining far below the poverty line, with widespread reports of unpaid wages. The war will undoubtedly put further strain on employers, potentially leading to more wage arrears and job losses, particularly in sectors affected by infrastructure damage or heightened insecurity. The nation’s industrial sector, already crippled by mismanagement and sanctions, faces further decline and factory closures. The pervasive use of temporary contracts, affecting around 90% of the workforce, will continue to deny workers access to essential benefits, leaving them even more vulnerable in a post-conflict environment.

Workers Under Siege: Repression, Resistance, and Displacement

The Iranian government’s response to this deepening crisis has been a brutal suppression of labour activism. Independent unions are outlawed, and peaceful labour leaders are routinely targeted, facing arbitrary arrests, sham trials, lengthy prison sentences, flogging, and even death sentences. As of April 2025, at least 19 labour activists remained unjustly imprisoned. The war has likely intensified this crackdown, with reports of hundreds of arrests on “political or security charges” since the start of the conflict, including alleged “Mossad spies,” further chilling any dissent or collective action.

Workplace fatalities in Iran remained shockingly high due to poor safety standards, with over 2,081 workers reportedly losing their lives between May 2024 and April 2025. The damage to infrastructure during the conflict, and the likely rush to rebuild, could exacerbate these risks if proper safety measures are not prioritized.

Despite the severe repression, the spirit of resistance endured prior to the war, with widespread protests in April 2025 demanding better pensions, livable wages, and an end to corruption. The immediate aftermath of the war saw a focus on survival and return for displaced populations. However, the underlying economic grievances remain, and the added suffering from the conflict, coupled with the regime’s perceived inability to protect its citizens and cities from attack, could fuel renewed social unrest in the long term.

A significant humanitarian consequence of the 12-day war was the mass displacement of hundreds of thousands of Iranians, particularly from Tehran and other major cities, fearing for their lives as Israeli air strikes intensified. While many have begun to trickle back following the fragile ceasefire, they return to a city scarred by attacks, with homes damaged or destroyed, and a profound sense of uncertainty for the future. Over 610 Iranians, predominantly civilians, were reportedly killed, and 1,481 wounded during the conflict, with health infrastructure also affected. This mass displacement and trauma place additional burdens on social services and families, particularly those with limited resources.

Marginalized Communities: A Deeper Struggle Amidst the Rubble

The economic and social downturn disproportionately impacts already marginalized segments of the population, and the war has only amplified their struggles:

Women: Iranian women, already facing a double burden of economic hardship and entrenched societal discrimination, are further vulnerable. The conflict has likely added to their economic exclusion, as disruptions affect informal work and access to resources. The trauma of displacement, loss of livelihoods, and the continued struggle against compulsory social restrictions are magnified by the war’s psychological toll.

Ethnic and Religious Minorities: These communities, facing systemic discrimination, will likely see their disadvantages exacerbated by the conflict’s economic fallout and potential shifts in government priorities.

Afghan Migrants: Already in a precarious situation, Afghan migrants in Iran face severe restrictions and precarious legal status. The war has intensified their vulnerability, with reports of mass returns and expulsions, leaving them in an even more desperate position, caught between a conflict-ridden Iran and a challenging return to Afghanistan.

Children: Child labour, already a widespread issue, is likely to be exacerbated as families struggle to cope with the economic devastation and displacement caused by the war. Children are also among the hundreds of civilians killed and thousands displaced, suffering profound psychological trauma and disruption to their education and development.
The Weight of Sanctions and the War’s Aftermath

While international economic sanctions aim to pressure the Iranian government, their profound and regressive impact on the general population, particularly vulnerable labour markets, has been well-documented. The 12-day war introduces a new dimension to this. While global oil markets initially reacted with caution, the sustained economic and military pressure on Iran, including reported damage to nuclear facilities and military assets, raises concerns about the potential for further, even more crippling, sanctions if Iran’s response is perceived as escalatory. The war has undoubtedly strained Iran’s already fragile economy, raising the specter of increased shortages of essential goods and services, and further deterioration of power and water infrastructure.

The immediate aftermath of the war sees Iran in a weakened strategic and military position. While a fragile ceasefire is in place, the specter of renewed conflict looms, and the internal political and social tensions within Iran are likely to intensify. For the workers and marginalized strata of Iranian society, the period since April 2025, culminating in the devastating 12-day war, represents a relentless decline in their living standards, marked by rampant inflation, widespread poverty, precarious employment, mass displacement, and severe limitations on their fundamental rights, all compounded by persistent economic and political pressures, and the profound human cost of conflict.

Office, Central Executive Council CODIR

Wolverhampton TUC is affiliated.

The meeting, chaired by trade unionist Ben Stevenson, featured British-Iranian activist Jamshid Ahmadi. It highlighted the escalating crisis in Iran since the 1979 Islamic Revolution, which has driven nearly 9 million Iranians into exile. Today, Iran faces poverty, unemployment, rampant inflation, and human rights violations; factors driving renewed activism within the country.

Ahmadi emphasized the growing strength of Iran’s underground labour movement, referencing two major recent strikes: a government-backed truck drivers’ protest over fuel and insurance costs, and a teachers’ strike involving 400,000 vehicles across 20 provinces, demanding educational reforms and fair employment. Despite the absence of legal unions, these actions have demonstrated the resilience and organization of Iran’s workers.

The discussion also explored the Iranian diaspora, with 300,000 Iranians currently living in the UK and many more in North America. Ahmadi noted the contributions of Iranian migrants—many highly educated professionals. An Example of Uber CEO Dara Khosrowshahi. Moreover, Ahmadi shared his personal experiences from the 1990s refugee support movement.

A key concern raised was the threat of foreign military intervention. Participants questioned whether US or Israeli strikes would improve the situation or further destabilize the region. Ahmadi warned of the potential fallout due to Iran’s proxy networks and urged that any future change in Iran must come from its people—not outside powers.

The meeting strongly endorsed the Women, Life, Freedom movement as a symbol of grassroots resistance. It drew historical parallels to trade unionist solidarity efforts for Chile and South Africa, calling on British unions to affiliate with CODIR and support a democratic, secular Iran.

Ben Stevenson concluded by urging participants to oppose military intervention, strengthen worker solidarity, and sign up for CODIR’s newsletter at https://codir.net/ to stay engaged in the campaign.

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According to the latest reports, the truck drivers’ strike, which began on 19th May 2025, has entered its third week and swept across all 31 provinces, halting freight transportation in over 150 cities across Iran. https://codir.net/?p=3973

The Union of Iranian Truckers and Drivers’ Associations announced that by the end of the fourth day of the strike, 105 cities had joined this protest, with subsequent reports indicating participation in as many as 163 cities. It is estimated that over 400,000 out of approximately 433,000 registered heavy goods vehicles (HGVs) remain off the road. 

The recent truck drivers’ strike protests against the inefficient and anti-people policies of the Iranian regime, which have made living and working conditions more difficult for them and other working people. The protesting drivers object to the three-tier diesel fuel pricing plan. This plan’s consequence is a significant increase in fuel costs, which, along with rising expenses for spare parts, tires, oil, and road tolls, has severely limited drivers’ ability to continue sustainable economic activity. 

In addition, drivers are protesting a 45% increase in insurance premiums, which was approved as part of the government’s Seventh Development Plan.

Officials of the theocratic regime have not only failed to address the drivers’ demands but have also dismissed their protests as “rumours” and called this strike “unnatural.”  The reality is that drivers across the country, contrary to the deceptive promises of Islamic Republic officials, have faced threats, fines, severe repression, and violence, including the arrest of numerous drivers and the use of pepper spray against them. Authorities have also threatened that any driver refusing to load cargo would have “all their documents invalidated, services cut off, and a judicial case opened directly against them.”

The right to strike, as one of the methods of struggle for working people to achieve their rights, is supported by ILO conventions and the Universal Declaration of Human Rights. However, the Islamic Republic of Iran has not ratified ILO Conventions 87 (Freedom of Association and Protection of the Right to Organise) and 98 (Right to Organise and and Collective Bargaining), despite ongoing discussions and calls from workers’ organisations for their ratification. This non-ratification allows the regime to continue its systematic crackdown on independent labour organising and strikes.

The nationwide truck drivers’ strike is part of a professional struggle that, alongside the protests of workers, retirees, nurses, teachers, and other working people, strengthens the popular movement against the theocratic dictatorship and paves the way for the realisation of social justice and the establishment of a national and democratic republic. This strike has garnered significant solidarity, with taxi drivers in a number of cities like joining the movement, and the Syndicate of Workers of the Vahed Company of Tehran and Suburbs Bus Company issuing a statement of support. These widespread actions highlight a shared experience of hardship, especially as the minimum wage set by the regime for 2025 covers only about 52% of a household’s basic needs, falling drastically short of the estimated poverty line of approximately $400 per month for a family of three, compared to the current minimum wage of around $120.

CODIR strongly supports the truck drivers’ strike and their legitimate demands, condemns the repressive and violent actions of Islamic Republic officials, and calls for the immediate and unconditional release of the arrested drivers.

CODIR Campaigns for Peace, Human Rights and Democracy in Iran https://codir.net/
CODIR was established in 1981 by a group of British labour and trade union activists in collaboration with Iranian democrats living in exile in the UK.
The main aim of the organisation since its inception has been to provide truthful and unbiased information and analysis about the reality of life in Iran.

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Liberation webinar to inform about and show solidarity with the Iranian people and their demands for change, and to oppose any imperialist intervention in Iran. 

Iran: the people vs dictatorship, for peace & popular sovereignty view webinar – start it at 9min 46sec as long pause at start while they set up https://www.facebook.com/liberationorg/videos/266427052438932

SPEAKERS: Professor Ervand Abrahamian (historian, New York University), Azar Sepehr, (Women’s rights activist Democratic Organisation of Iranian Women in UK), Kemal Ozkan (Assistant General Secretary, IndustriALL), Comarde Habib (International Dept, Tudeh Party Iran) and Jeremy Corbyn MP, (Liberation, Peace & Justice Project)

at Wolverhampton May Day: